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THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 103 IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM CDT MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IN MISSOURI THIS WATCH INCLUDES 11 COUNTIES
IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU CARTER MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID PERRY RIPLEY SCOTT STODDARD WAYNE
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF... BLOOMFIELD... CAPE GIRARDEAU... CHARLESTON... DONIPHAN... MARBLE HILL... NEW MADRID... PERRYVILLE... PIEDMONT... POPLAR BLUFF... SIKESTON AND VAN BUREN.
Dee Loflin, SMT Manager/Editor
... FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS... WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS... IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS... ALEXANDER... FRANKLIN... JACKSON... JEFFERSON... JOHNSON... MASSAC... PERRY IL... PULASKI... UNION IL AND WILLIAMSON. IN WESTERN KENTUCKY... BALLARD... CALLOWAY... CARLISLE... FULTON... GRAVES... HICKMAN... MARSHALL AND MCCRACKEN. IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI... BOLLINGER... BUTLER... CAPE GIRARDEAU... CARTER... MISSISSIPPI... NEW MADRID... PERRY MO... RIPLEY... SCOTT... STODDARD AND WAYNE MO.
* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING
* INCOMING HEAVY RAINS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR. WITH THE DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL JET TONIGHT... SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD END UP REPEATING OVER THE SAME AREAS... MAKING POSSIBLE FOR HIGHER LOCALIZED TOTALS TO 3 INCHES OR MORE. THE LATEST FORECAST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS 3 INCH OR HIGHER TOTALS MAY CAUSE FLOODING.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
Dee Loflin, SMT Manager/Editor
.. TWO TO THREE ROUNDS OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY BY TUESDAY NIGHT...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI... MAINLY WEST OF A LINE FROM DEXTER TO MARBLE HILL. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF OUR REGION.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI TODAY... AND THEN MOVE EAST ACROSS THE QUAD STATE REGION TONIGHT. ACROSS THE MODERATE RISK AREA... THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A SIGNIFICANT OUTBREAK OF SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING... WITH LARGE HAIL... DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS... AND A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE. ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA... ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS ARE LIKELY. IN ADDITION... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY ANY THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.
AFTER A LULL IN THE ACTIVITY EARLY MONDAY... ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS LIKELY MONDAY INTO MONDAY EVENING. THIS ROUND OF STORMS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE ISOLATED TORNADOES... LARGE HAIL... AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS.
A THIRD ROUND OF STORMS IS POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY... HOWEVER THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK TUESDAY APPEARS TO BE RELATIVELY LOW COMPARED TO THE FIRST TWO ROUNDS.
EACH ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL... WHICH MAY EVENTUALLY LEAD TO SOME FLASH FLOODING IN AREAS THAT RECEIVE MORE THAN ONE ROUND OF VERY HEAVY RAIN.
NOW IS A GOOD TIME TO REVIEW YOUR SEVERE WEATHER ACTION PLANS. MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION AND BE READY TO IMPLEMENT THOSE PLANS.
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Dee Loflin, SMT Manager/Editor
Stoddard County - Winter weather just will not go away quietly. The National Weather Service has issues a Freeze Warning for Stoddard County.
........FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CDT TUESDAY... ... FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WARNING... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CDT TUESDAY. A FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* TIMING... LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THEN AGAIN LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* TEMPERATURES... LOWS TONIGHT GENERALLY NEAR OR JUST BELOW 32 DEGREES. LOWS TOMORROW NIGHT IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.
* IMPACTS... NEW EARLY SEASON VEGETATION COULD BE DAMAGED OR KILLED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE. THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.
A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION
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Dee Loflin, SMT Manager/Editor
Stoddard County, Missouri - The National Weather Service in Paducah, Kentucky has issued a Tornado Watch for Stoddard County.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 50 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IN ILLINOIS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 15 COUNTIES
IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
ALEXANDER FRANKLIN GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON MASSAC PERRY POPE PULASKI SALINE UNION WILLIAMSON
IN KENTUCKY THIS WATCH INCLUDES 9 COUNTIES
IN WESTERN KENTUCKY
BALLARD CALLOWAY CARLISLE FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN LIVINGSTON MARSHALL MCCRACKEN
IN MISSOURI THIS WATCH INCLUDES 11 COUNTIES
IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU CARTER MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID PERRY RIPLEY SCOTT STODDARD WAYNE
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF... BARDWELL... BENTON... BLOOMFIELD... CAIRO... CAPE GIRARDEAU... CARBONDALE... CHARLESTON... CLINTON... DONIPHAN... ELIZABETHTOWN... GOLCONDA... HARRISBURG... HERRIN... HICKMAN... JONESBORO... MARBLE HILL... MAYFIELD... MCLEANSBORO... METROPOLIS... MOUND CITY... MOUNT VERNON... MURRAY... NEW MADRID... PADUCAH... PERRYVILLE... PIEDMONT... PINCKNEYVILLE... POPLAR BLUFF... SHAWNEETOWN... SIKESTON... SMITHLAND... VAN BUREN... VIENNA... WEST FRANKFORT AND WICKLIFFE.
Dee Loflin, SMT Manager/Editor
.. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LATER THIS WEEK...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY... ALONG AND NORTH OF A STATIONARY FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE REGION. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY REACH SEVERE LEVELS... ESPECIALLY LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY. LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN SEEM TO BE THE MAIN THUNDERSTORM RISKS AT THIS TIME.
IN ADDITION... CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO GROWN FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATER THURSDAY AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY NIGHT... AHEAD OF AN EASTWARD PROGRESSING COLD FRONT. THE DYNAMICS AND INSTABILITY OF THIS SYSTEM APPEAR AT A MAGNITUDE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER.
HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS COULD CAUSE FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING... PARTICULARLY THURSDAY NIGHT... IF HEAVY RAIN OCCURS WITH AN EXPECTED ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY.
PLEASE STAY TUNED AND KEEP ABREAST OF FORECASTS AS WE HEAD INTO THE MID WEEK TIME FRAME.
Dee Loflin, SMT Manager/Editor
... MIX OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL MOVE JUST SOUTH OF THE QUAD STATE REGION ON SUNDAY. AS THE LOW APPROACHES... IT WILL SPREAD RAIN INTO THE AREA TONIGHT. AT THE SAME TIME... A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO PASS THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT. BEHIND THE FRONT... MUCH COLDER AIR WILL BE DRAWN SOUTHWARD ON SUNDAY... RESULTING IN THE POTENTIAL FOR A MIX OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION.
WHILE THE POTENTIAL FOR A MIX WITH SNOW ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE DEPARTING SYSTEM HAS BEEN ANTICIPATED FOR SOME TIME... LATEST MODELS NOW SUGGEST THE SURGE OF COLD AIR ON SUNDAY WILL BE MUCH FASTER THAN EARLIER INDICATED. THIS MEANS THAT MORE OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL HAVE A CHANCE TO FALL AS SNOW... SLEET... AND PERHAPS A LITTLE FREEZING RAIN BEFORE IT COMES TO AN END SUNDAY NIGHT.
AT THE PRESENT TIME... INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE GREATEST ACCUMULATION OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE QUAD STATE REGION. THIS WOULD HAVE THE GREATEST IMPACT ON TRAVEL IN SUCH COMMUNITIES AS CAPE GIRARDEAU MISSOURI... CARBONDALE AND MARION ILLINOIS... EVANSVILLE INDIANA... AND HENDERSON AND OWENSBORO KENTUCKY. IN THIS ZONE... AT LEAST 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET MAY ACCUMULATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. EVEN IN AREAS THAT RECEIVE MAINLY RAIN... SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES SUNDAY NIGHT MAY RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF ICING... ESPECIALLY ON ELEVATED AND UNTREATED SURFACES.
AS THIS STORM APPROACHES... MODIFICATIONS TO PRECIPITATION TYPE... AMOUNTS... AND THE LOCATION OF GREATEST ACCUMULATION ARE ALL POSSIBLE. IT WOULD BE WISE TO KEEP IN TUNE TO THE LATEST FORECASTS ON THIS DEVELOPING WINTER WEATHER EVENT.