Submitted by
Dee Loflin, SMT Manager/Editor

Stoddard County, Missouri - .......... WINTER WEATHER IMPACTS LIKELY THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...

ARCTIC AIR WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MEANWHILE STRONG FLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL CARRY DISTURBANCES FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION. THE DISTURBANCES WILL GENERATE WINTRY PRECIPITATION IN THE COLD ARCTIC AIR.

THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD FIRST DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI INTO SOUTHERN ILLINOIS THURSDAY EVENING... THEN TOWARD THE OHIO RIVER AND POSSIBLY INTO FAR WEST KENTUCKY AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA LATER THURSDAY NIGHT. FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET APPEAR MOST LIKELY INITIALLY... POSSIBLY MIXING WITH SNOW BY FRIDAY MORNING OVER SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI.

THE TRANSITION TO FREEZING RAIN... SLEET... AND POSSIBLY SOME SNOW... WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND EAST FRIDAY OVER THE REMAINDER OF WEST KENTUCKY AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA AS ANOTHER WAVE OF PRECIPITATION MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. HIGHEST PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS FRIDAY SHOULD BE ALONG AND SOUTH AND EAST OF THE OHIO RIVER.

THIS IS A COMPLEX FORECAST WITH MANY VARIABLES IN PLAY. IT IS STILL TOO SOON TO FORECAST SPECIFIC AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND ICE AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER... GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION THAT IS BEING FORECAST IN OUR MODEL DATA... THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE OR SLEET... AND SOME SNOW... THAT COULD HAVE CONSIDERABLE IMPACTS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

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